← Signals · Energy · TSX
$AAV
Advantage Energy Ltd.
Signal as of July 21, 2026  ·  90-day rolling window  ·  Oil & Gas Exploration and Production
Confluence Score
80
out of 100  ·  Confluence  ·  Full breakdown →
Score delayed 7 days on Free  ·  See today's score — Analyst →
Signals scoring 75–89 have historically hit 60% of the time (avg +9.7% over 90 days, 362 backtested signals). Methodology →
🔒 Risk monitoring — insider-selling & reversal warnings (Analyst)
📅 Buying into earnings — Aug 05 (8d)
Confluence Score
80
Insider Activity (90d)
6
6 buyers  ·  $919K  ·  open-market only
Current Price
$10.69
CAD  ·  5-min cache
Market Cap
$1.8B
CAD  ·  TMX
Lobbying & Contracts
Active
4 regs  ·  0 contracts
Energy on Form55: 59% hit rate · +3.6% alpha vs XIU.TO · 68 closed signals Track Record →
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily  ·  TSX:AAV
Insider Transactions
90-day window  ·  21 filings
Date Insider Role Nature Dir. Shares Buy Price Return Value
Jun 30, 2026 FESTIVAL, JOHN Comp. Grant Buy 1,212
Jun 30, 2026 Angevine, Jill Terilee Comp. Grant Buy 955
Jun 30, 2026 Clague, Donald M. Comp. Grant Buy 946
Jun 30, 2026 MacDonald, Norman Comp. Grant Buy 946
Jun 30, 2026 Choate, Deirdre Mary Comp. Grant Buy 970
Jun 30, 2026 Smith, David Glenson Comp. Grant Buy 897
Jun 30, 2026 Farb, Daniel Stuart Comp. Grant Buy 897
Jun 30, 2026 Massaro, Lawrence Stephen Comp. Grant Buy 897
Jun 30, 2026 Minyard, Katherine Lucas Comp. Grant Buy 897
Jun 30, 2026 Blackwood, Donald Craig Plan / DRIP Buy 1,330 $10.01 +6.8%  · 28d $13K
Jun 30, 2026 Bokenfohr, Neil Plan / DRIP Buy 1,274 $10.01 +6.8%  · 28d $13K
Jun 30, 2026 Quaife, John Plan / DRIP Buy 1,218 $10.01 +6.8%  · 28d $12K
Jun 30, 2026 Keyser, Geoffrey Plan / DRIP Buy 1,218 $10.01 +6.8%  · 28d $12K
Jun 30, 2026 Tisdale, Darren Plan / DRIP Buy 1,218 $10.01 +6.8%  · 28d $12K
Jun 30, 2026 Bagnell, Brian Eric Plan / DRIP Buy 1,218 $10.01 +6.8%  · 28d $12K
Jun 18, 2026 Keyser, Geoffrey Open Market Buy 4,000 $9.84 +8.6%  · 40d $39K
Jun 17, 2026 Farb, Daniel Stuart Open Market Buy 25,000 $9.77 +9.4%  · 41d $244K
Jun 16, 2026 Blackwood, Donald Craig Open Market Buy 10,000 $9.55 +11.9%  · 42d $96K
Jun 16, 2026 FESTIVAL, JOHN Open Market Buy 50,000 $9.60 +11.4%  · 42d $480K
Jun 16, 2026 Tisdale, Darren Open Market Buy 4,100 $9.60 +11.4%  · 42d $39K
Jun 16, 2026 Bagnell, Brian Eric Open Market Buy 2,095 $9.56 +11.8%  · 42d $20K
Score uses open-market buys only  ·  6 open-market  ·  15 plan / compensation shown but not scored  ·  Return is unrealized, to today's price; a “· Nd” mark means the 90-day window is still open (N of 90 days) — too early to judge.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Component Points Max Detail Weight
Conviction (unique buyers)  ✓ FREE PREVIEW 15 30 6 unique buyers
Buy/sell ratio 20 100% buys (6B / 0S)
Dollar value 25 $919K
Lobbying activity 15 4 regs
Contract wins 10 None
Insider track record 10 No track record data
Private placements 8 None
Confluence bonus 10 Partial confluence (2+ signal sources)
Cluster timing (velocity) 10 Tight cluster: 2+ insiders bought within ~3 days
Buy/sell reversal pattern 8 No buy/sell reversal pattern
Total 80 100
Unlock Component Detail — CAD $29/mo
Buying Insiders
Open-market · 90 days · 6 unique buyers
Insider Credibility Hit Rate Avg 90d Return Trades (eval'd) Buy Value (90d) Last Buy
FESTIVAL, JOHN $480K Jun 16, 2026
Farb, Daniel Stuart $244K Jun 17, 2026
Blackwood, Donald Craig $96K Jun 16, 2026
Keyser, Geoffrey $39K Jun 18, 2026
Tisdale, Darren $39K Jun 16, 2026
Bagnell, Brian Eric $20K Jun 16, 2026
Credibility score: historical hit rate × avg 90d return × sample size. View full insider leaderboard →
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active  ·  4 registrations
Effective Registrant Subject Matter Institutions Status
May 01, 2026 Policy Concepts Inc.  ✓ FREE PREVIEW Ongoing government engagement activities related to any future legislative changes impacting long-te… Employment and Social Development Canada (ESDC); Prime Minister's Offi… Active
Active
Active
+ 1 more registration
Unlock 4 Registrations — CAD $29/mo
Government Contract Wins
90-day window  ·  none found
No government contract wins in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Private Placements
12 months  ·  Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking. Analyst plan →
Indigenous Consultation
no records on file

No Indigenous consultation records on file for AAV.

SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes. Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO  ·  Jul 15, 2026
Shares short
3,006,500
Net change
-392,458 (-11.5%)
History
Jul 15: 3,006,500
Jun 30: 3,398,958
Jun 15: 5,377,971
May 31: 5,664,276
May 15: 5,307,302
Apr 30: 4,318,062
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews  ·  30 days
Views (30d)
360
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
3 insiders also active elsewhere
Insider Other boards Also an insider at
Angevine, Jill Terilee 2 ERO (59), WOLF (10)
Minyard, Katherine Lucas 1 OVV (10)
MacDonald, Norman (name match?) 2 OR (70), NEXM (60)
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Form55 provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.