Stagg, Kendall W. — Insider Profile

Insider Profile

Stagg, Kendall W.

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$CNQ

Companies Filed At

Open-Market Buys (2yr)

—

Buy Value (2yr, open-market)

Dec 15, 2020

Most Recent Trade

Credibility
Score

93%

Hit Rate

+34.6%

Avg 90d Return

+34.4%

Median 90d Return

Evaluated Trades

+112.2%

Best Trade

-44.1%

Worst Trade

Hit rate and returns are based on 14 open-market buys with evaluable 90-day outcomes. Score reflects historical conviction, not a guarantee of future performance. This insider ranks among the highest-credibility tracked on Form55.

Cross-Company Track Record

100%

Hit Rate · 90d

+18.3%

Median Alpha · 90d

Closed Buys Evaluated

100%

Beat XIU

All-insider base rate: 59% hit rate · +1.3% mean alpha (n=11504)

cluster buyer high frequency size concentrated

Entry: closing price on SEDI filing date (point-in-time). Exit: 90 calendar days later. Alpha vs XIU.TO (iShares TSX 60). Closed trades only. Not investment advice.

Research 8 closed buys with individual return outcomes available on the Research plan.

Political Donations · Elections Canada

$3K in individual political contributions across 7 donations (2011–2023).

Date	Party	Recipient	Amount
2023-10-18	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$250
2019-01-04	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$500
2017-01-06	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$250
2015-12-05	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$300
2015-03-20	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$500
2014-02-07	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$600
2011-02-02	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$400

Source: Elections Canada public contribution records (individual donations only; corporate political donations have been banned federally since 2007). Matched to this insider by name — shown for transparency, not a claim of wrongdoing and not a Confluence Score input.

Date	Company	Role	Nature	Dir.	Shares	Price	Value	Score
Dec 15, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Exercise	Sell	12,500	$28.85	$361K	55
Dec 15, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	12,500	$31.60	$395K	55
Dec 15, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	12,500	$28.85	$361K	55
Dec 04, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Exercise	Sell	12,500	$28.85	$361K	55
Dec 04, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	12,500	$32.00	$400K	55
Dec 04, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	12,500	$28.85	$361K	55
Nov 10, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Exercise	Sell	25,000	$22.90	$572K	55
Nov 10, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	25,000	$26.24	$656K	55
Nov 10, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	25,000	$22.90	$572K	55
Sep 29, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	7,000	$21.39	$150K	55
Mar 26, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	11,159	$39.43	$440K	55
Mar 19, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Open Market	Buy	15,000	$7.57	$114K	55
Mar 11, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	251	$35.04	$9K	55
Mar 11, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	598	$35.04	$21K	55
Mar 11, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	525	$35.04	$18K	55
Mar 11, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	5,339	$35.09	$187K	55
Jan 29, 2020	$CNQ Canadian Natural Resources	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	47,500	$38.71	$1.8M	55

Muted rows are plan purchases, compensation grants, or DRIP — not open-market. Confluence Scores reflect the company's current score, not the score at time of trade.