Insider Profile
Gardner, Paul Douglas
1
Companies Filed At
0
Open-Market Buys (2yr)
—
Buy Value (2yr, open-market)
Mar 01, 2023
Most Recent Trade
45
Credibility
Score
Score
62%
Hit Rate
+12.5%
Avg 90d Return
+22.0%
Median 90d Return
32
Evaluated Trades
+37.8%
Best Trade
-16.1%
Worst Trade
Hit rate and returns are based on 32 open-market buys with evaluable
90-day outcomes. Score reflects historical conviction, not a guarantee of future performance.
This insider has a solid track record of profitable timing.
Cross-Company Track Record
67%
Hit Rate · 90d
+27.7%
Median Alpha · 90d
3
Closed Buys Evaluated
67%
Beat XIU
All-insider base rate:
59% hit rate
· +1.3% mean alpha
(n=11504)
size concentrated
Entry: closing price on SEDI filing date (point-in-time). Exit: 90 calendar days later.
Alpha vs XIU.TO (iShares TSX 60). Closed trades only. Not investment advice.
Research
3 closed buys with individual return outcomes available on the
Research plan.
Political Donations · Elections Canada
$3K in individual political contributions across 8 donations (2014–2022).
| Date | Party | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-24 | Green Party of Canada | $500 |
| 2021-05-26 | Green Party of Canada | $700 |
| 2019-06-26 | Green Party of Canada | $600 |
| 2015-09-10 | Green Party of Canada | $100 |
| 2015-07-04 | Green Party of Canada | $400 |
| 2015-07-04 | Green Party of Canada | $100 |
| 2015-03-11 | Green Party of Canada | $400 |
| 2014-09-30 | Green Party of Canada | $400 |
Source: Elections Canada public contribution records (individual donations only; corporate political donations have been banned federally since 2007). Matched to this insider by name — shown for transparency, not a claim of wrongdoing and not a Confluence Score input.
| Date | Company | Dir. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 01, 2023 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $463K |
| Mar 01, 2023 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $833K |
| Mar 01, 2023 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $1.6M |
| Mar 01, 2023 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $93K |
| Feb 23, 2023 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Feb 23, 2023 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $943K |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $162K |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $659K |
| Nov 04, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $604K |
| Nov 04, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $985K |
| Nov 04, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $604K |
| Mar 07, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $1.5M |
| Mar 07, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $2.1M |
| Mar 07, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $1.5M |
| Feb 24, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Feb 24, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $458K |
| Feb 16, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $4.7M |
| Feb 11, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $463K |
| Feb 11, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $833K |
| Feb 11, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $1.9M |
| Feb 11, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $93K |
| Feb 09, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $1.5M |
| Feb 09, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $1.8M |
| Feb 09, 2022 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $1.5M |
| Dec 31, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $130K |
| Feb 16, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $2.1M |
| Feb 16, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $1.0M |
| Feb 16, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $500K |
| Feb 13, 2021 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Sell | $3.2M |
| Dec 31, 2020 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | $130K |
| Dec 31, 2020 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2020 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Dec 31, 2020 |
$SU
Suncor Energy
|
Buy | — |
Muted rows are plan purchases, compensation grants, or DRIP — not open-market.
Confluence Scores reflect the company's current score, not the score at time of trade.