NOVELLI, Michael Jon — Insider Profile

Insider Profile

NOVELLI, Michael Jon

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$TA

Companies Filed At

Open-Market Buys (2yr)

—

Buy Value (2yr, open-market)

Mar 28, 2023

Most Recent Trade

Credibility
Score

56%

Hit Rate

+7.0%

Avg 90d Return

+4.8%

Median 90d Return

Evaluated Trades

+25.6%

Best Trade

-7.2%

Worst Trade

Hit rate and returns are based on 39 open-market buys with evaluable 90-day outcomes. Score reflects historical conviction, not a guarantee of future performance. Limited signal — either below-average timing or insufficient trade history.

Cross-Company Track Record

THIN HISTORY

100%

Hit Rate · 90d

+11.5%

Median Alpha · 90d

Closed Buys Evaluated

100%

Beat XIU

All-insider base rate: 59% hit rate · +1.3% mean alpha (n=11504)

size concentrated

Entry: closing price on SEDI filing date (point-in-time). Exit: 90 calendar days later. Alpha vs XIU.TO (iShares TSX 60). Closed trades only. Not investment advice.

Research 2 closed buys with individual return outcomes available on the Research plan.

Date	Company	Role	Nature	Dir.	Shares	Price	Value	Score
Mar 28, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Open Market	Buy	34,488	$10.92	$377K	85
Mar 17, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	12,623	$12.67	$160K	85
Mar 08, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Open Market	Buy	47,081	$11.58	$545K	85
Mar 08, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Exercise	Buy	47,081	$7.50	$353K	85
Mar 08, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Exercise	Sell	47,081	$7.50	$353K	85
Jan 06, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	134	$12.07	$2K	85
Jan 03, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	18,986	$9.67	$184K	85
Jan 03, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	41,771	$9.67	$404K	85
Jan 03, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	14,828	$12.67	$188K	85
Jan 03, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	52,948	$9.67	$512K	85
Jan 03, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	25,247	$12.67	$320K	85
Jan 03, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Buyback	Buy	32,621	$12.67	$413K	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Expiry	Sell	15,405	—	—	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	154	$12.02	$2K	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	191	$12.02	$2K	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	148	$12.02	$2K	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Expiry	Sell	33,891	—	—	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	70	$12.02	$841	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	87	$12.02	$1K	85
Jan 01, 2023	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	67	$12.02	$805	85
Mar 14, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	32,232	$12.67	$408K	85
Mar 14, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	37,870	$12.67	$480K	85
Mar 14, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	14,651	$12.67	$186K	85
Jan 14, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	111	$12.89	$1K	85
Jan 01, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	54	$14.07	$760	85
Jan 01, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	66	$14.07	$929	85
Jan 01, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	145	$14.07	$2K	85
Jan 01, 2022	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	118	$14.07	$2K	85
Oct 06, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	98	$13.32	$1K	85
Oct 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	62	$13.31	$825	85
Oct 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	112	$13.31	$1K	85
Oct 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	138	$13.31	$2K	85
Oct 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	51	$13.31	$679	85
Jan 07, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	82	$9.85	$808	85
Jan 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	65	$9.80	$637	85
Jan 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	18,420	$9.67	$178K	85
Jan 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	52,948	$9.67	$512K	85
Jan 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	142	$9.80	$1K	85
Jan 01, 2021	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	40,525	$9.67	$392K	85
Oct 06, 2020	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	97	$8.26	$801	85
Oct 01, 2020	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	75	$8.34	$626	85
Oct 01, 2020	$TA TransAlta Corporation	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	166	$8.34	$1K	85

Muted rows are plan purchases, compensation grants, or DRIP — not open-market. Confluence Scores reflect the company's current score, not the score at time of trade.