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$IMO
Imperial Oil
Signal as of July 25, 2026  ·  90-day rolling window  ·  Integrated Oil & Gas
Confluence Score
98
out of 100  ·  Confluence  ·  Full breakdown →
Score delayed 7 days on Free  ·  See today's score — Analyst →
Signals scoring 90–100 have historically hit 75% of the time (avg +10.7% over 90 days, 73 backtested signals). Methodology →
🔒 Risk monitoring — insider-selling & reversal warnings (Analyst)
Confluence Score
98
Insider Activity (90d)
4
2 buyers  ·  $1.9M  ·  open-market only
Current Price
$181.75
CAD  ·  5-min cache
Market Cap
$87.9B
CAD  ·  TMX
Lobbying & Contracts
Active
2 regs  ·  0 contracts
Energy on Form55: 59% hit rate · +3.6% alpha vs XIU.TO · 68 closed signals Track Record →
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily  ·  TSX:IMO
Insider Transactions
90-day window  ·  6 filings
Date Insider Role Nature Dir. Shares Buy Price Return Value
Jul 07, 2026 ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Buyback Buy 70,122 $165.41 +9.9%  · 25d $11.6M
Jul 06, 2026 ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation Buyback Buy 70,121 $160.59 +13.2%  · 26d $11.3M
May 11, 2026 Leyerzapf, Christopher Stephen Open Market Buy 40 $176.63 +2.9%  · 82d $7K
May 11, 2026 Laing, Ian Robert Open Market Buy 4,128 $176.63 +2.9%  · 82d $729K
May 11, 2026 Laing, Ian Robert Open Market Buy 4,100 $176.63 +2.9%  · 82d $724K
May 07, 2026 Laing, Ian Robert Open Market Buy 2,429 $170.32 +6.7%  · 86d $414K
Score uses open-market buys only  ·  4 open-market  ·  2 plan / compensation shown but not scored  ·  Return is unrealized, to today's price; a “· Nd” mark means the 90-day window is still open (N of 90 days) — too early to judge.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Component Points Max Detail Weight
Conviction (unique buyers)  ✓ FREE PREVIEW 25 30 2 unique buyers
Buy/sell ratio 20 100% buys (4B / 0S)
Dollar value 25 $1.9M (sweet spot)
Lobbying activity 15 2 regs
Contract wins 10 None
Insider track record 10 Avg 50% credibility
Private placements 8 None
Confluence bonus 10 Partial confluence (2+ signal sources)
Cluster timing (velocity) 10 Moderate cluster: 2+ insiders bought within ~1 week
Buy/sell reversal pattern 8 No buy/sell reversal pattern
Total 98 100
Unlock Component Detail — CAD $29/mo
Buying Insiders
Open-market · 90 days · 2 unique buyers
Insider Credibility Hit Rate Avg 90d Return Trades (eval'd) Buy Value (90d) Last Buy
Laing, Ian Robert 53 /100 70% +11.5% 91 $1.9M May 11, 2026
Leyerzapf, Christopher Stephen 40 /100 71% +13.0% 14 $7K May 11, 2026
Credibility score: historical hit rate × avg 90d return × sample size. View full insider leaderboard →
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active  ·  2 registrations
Effective Registrant Subject Matter Institutions Status
May 06, 2026 Whelan, John  ✓ FREE PREVIEW Active
Active
Unlock 2 Registrations — CAD $29/mo
Government Contract Wins
90-day window  ·  none found
No government contract wins in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Private Placements
12 months  ·  Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking. Analyst plan →
Political Footprint
Donations · lobbying · contracts

7 insiders linked to IMO are also individual political donors — $117K across 325 donations (2007–2024).

Conservative Party of Canada · $59K Liberal Party of Canada · $43K Green Party of Canada · $7K Animal Protection Party of Canada · $5K New Democratic Party · $3K

Form55 also tracks IMO's federal footprint: 7 lobbying registrations naming 23 departments, and $799.6M across 6189 federal contracts from 13 departments.

The chain — lobbied & awarded

4 departments appear in both IMO's federal lobbying filings and its federal contract awards:

Fisheries and Oceans Canada $36.1M · 188 contracts
Transport Canada $8.9M · 69 contracts
Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada $3.3M · 90 contracts
Health Canada $241K · 10 contracts

Sources: Elections Canada (individual donations only — corporate political donations banned federally since 2007), the federal Registry of Lobbyists, and federal contract disclosures. Insiders matched to donors by name. Shown for transparency from disclosed public records — this is not a Confluence Score input, implies no causal link between donations, lobbying, or contracts, and is not a claim of wrongdoing.

Indigenous Consultation
no records on file

No Indigenous consultation records on file for IMO.

SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes. Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO  ·  Jul 15, 2026
Shares short
2,647,990
Net change
+204,438 (+8.4%)
History
Jul 15: 2,647,990
Jun 30: 2,443,552
Jun 15: 3,645,916
May 31: 4,290,230
May 15: 4,413,011
Apr 30: 4,333,333
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews  ·  30 days
Views (30d)
4,466
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
3 insiders also active elsewhere
Insider Other boards Also an insider at
Cornhill, David Wallace 1 ALA (48)
Hubbs, Miranda C. 1 NTR (84)
Driscoll, Sharon Ruth 1 GIL (95)
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Government Grants & Funding
1 federal award  ·  $202K total
Program / Agreement Department Amount Start
Renewable Diesel Demonstration/Research Project Contribution Natural Resources Canada $202K Mar 2009
Federal grants & contributions disclosed by the Government of Canada (Proactive Disclosure), matched to this issuer by legal name. Government funding can be a pre-revenue validation and capital signal. Display-only context, not a Confluence Score input.
Form55 provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.