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$OBE
Obsidian Energy
Signal as of July 25, 2026  ·  90-day rolling window  ·  Oil & Gas Exploration and Production
Confluence Score
75
out of 100  ·  Full breakdown →
Score delayed 7 days on Free  ·  See today's score — Analyst →
Signals scoring 60–74 have historically hit 49% of the time (avg +5.2% over 90 days, 1310 backtested signals). Methodology →
🔒 Risk monitoring — insider-selling & reversal warnings (Analyst)
Confluence Score
75
Insider Activity (90d)
15
3 buyers  ·  $1.1M  ·  open-market only
Current Price
$15.05
CAD  ·  5-min cache
Market Cap
$1.0B
CAD  ·  TMX
Lobbying & Contracts
None
0 regs  ·  0 contracts
Energy on Form55: 59% hit rate · +3.6% alpha vs XIU.TO · 68 closed signals Track Record →
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily  ·  TSX:OBE
Insider Transactions
90-day window  ·  46 filings
Date Insider Role Nature Dir. Shares Buy Price Return Value
Jul 07, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 5,000 $7.96 +89.0%  · 25d $40K
Jun 30, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 5,000 $11.71 +28.5%  · 32d $59K
Jun 30, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 5,000 $11.64 +29.3%  · 32d $58K
Jun 29, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 5,000 $11.64 +29.3%  · 33d $58K
Jun 29, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 4,000 $11.43 +31.6%  · 33d $46K
Jun 26, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 4,000 $11.43 +31.6%  · 36d $46K
Jun 26, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 4,500 $11.54 +30.4%  · 36d $52K
Jun 25, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 4,500 $11.54 +30.4%  · 37d $52K
Jun 25, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 7,500 $11.87 +26.8%  · 37d $89K
Jun 24, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 4,000 $12.92 +16.5%  · 38d $52K
Jun 24, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 7,500 $11.87 +26.8%  · 38d $89K
Jun 23, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 3,000 $12.96 +16.2%  · 39d $39K
Jun 23, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 4,000 $12.92 +16.5%  · 39d $52K
Jun 22, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 3,000 $12.96 +16.2%  · 40d $39K
Jun 19, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 5,000 $12.88 +16.8%  · 43d $64K
Jun 19, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Derivative Buy 1 $15.10 -0.3%  · 43d $15
Jun 18, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 5,000 $12.88 +16.8%  · 44d $64K
Jun 18, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 500 $9.24 +62.9%  · 44d $5K
Jun 17, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 1,000 $9.80 +53.6%  · 45d $10K
Jun 08, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 13,321 $16.07 -6.3%  · 54d $214K
Jun 05, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 13,321 $16.07 -6.3%  · 57d $214K
Jun 05, 2026 Obsidian Energy Ltd. Buyback Buy 8,000 $16.95 -11.2%  · 57d $136K
May 15, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Buy 5,000 $1.99 +656.3%  · 78d $10K
May 15, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $18.25 -17.5%  · 78d $91K
May 15, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Sell 5,000 $1.99 $10K
May 14, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $18.05 -16.6%  · 79d $90K
May 14, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Sell 5,000 $1.99 $10K
May 14, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Buy 5,000 $1.99 +656.3%  · 79d $10K
May 14, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 10,000 $13.08 +15.1%  · 79d $131K
May 14, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 1,000 $13.25 +13.6%  · 79d $13K
May 13, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 1,600 $13.10 +14.9%  · 80d $21K
May 12, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $17.99 -16.3%  · 81d $90K
May 12, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Sell 10,000 $1.99 $20K
May 12, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Buy 10,000 $1.99 +656.3%  · 81d $20K
May 12, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $17.74 -15.2%  · 81d $89K
May 11, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Buy 10,000 $1.99 +656.3%  · 82d $20K
May 11, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Sell 10,000 $1.99 $20K
May 11, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $17.49 -14.0%  · 82d $87K
May 11, 2026 Hawkins, Mark Kristian Rodger Open Market Buy 10,000 $17.43 -13.7%  · 82d $174K
May 11, 2026 Hawkins, Mark Kristian Rodger Exercise Buy 10,000 $1.99 +656.3%  · 82d $20K
May 11, 2026 Hawkins, Mark Kristian Rodger Exercise Sell 10,000 $1.99 $20K
May 11, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $17.25 -12.8%  · 82d $86K
May 08, 2026 Loukas, Stephen Open Market Buy 5,000 $12.58 +19.6%  · 85d $63K
May 08, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Sell 5,000 $1.99 $10K
May 08, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Exercise Buy 5,000 $1.99 +656.3%  · 85d $10K
May 08, 2026 Sykes, Gareth Robin Open Market Buy 5,000 $17.30 -13.0%  · 85d $86K
Score uses open-market buys only  ·  15 open-market  ·  25 plan / compensation shown but not scored  ·  Return is unrealized, to today's price; a “· Nd” mark means the 90-day window is still open (N of 90 days) — too early to judge.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Component Points Max Detail Weight
Conviction (unique buyers)  ✓ FREE PREVIEW 25 30 3 unique buyers
Buy/sell ratio 20 71% buys (15B / 6S)
Dollar value 25 $1.1M (sweet spot)
Lobbying activity 15 None
Contract wins 10 None
Insider track record 10 Avg 32% credibility
Private placements 8 None
Confluence bonus 10 None
Cluster timing (velocity) 10 No coordinated buying cluster detected
Buy/sell reversal pattern 8 3+ insiders reversed from selling to buying
Total 75 100
Unlock Component Detail — CAD $29/mo
Buying Insiders
Open-market · 90 days · 3 unique buyers
Insider Credibility Hit Rate Avg 90d Return Trades (eval'd) Buy Value (90d) Last Buy
Loukas, Stephen 45 /100 67% +8.4% 121 $282K Jul 07, 2026
Sykes, Gareth Robin 20 /100 40% +0.2% 57 $620K May 15, 2026
Hawkins, Mark Kristian Rodger 20 /100 29% +3.9% 51 $174K May 11, 2026
Credibility score: historical hit rate × avg 90d return × sample size. View full insider leaderboard →
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active  ·  none found
No active OCL lobbying registrations in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Government Contract Wins
90-day window  ·  none found
No government contract wins in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Private Placements
12 months  ·  Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking. Analyst plan →
Political Footprint
Donations · lobbying · contracts

2 insiders linked to OBE are also individual political donors — $19K across 84 donations (2007–2022).

Conservative Party of Canada · $13K New Democratic Party · $3K Liberal Party of Canada · $3K Green Party of Canada · $400

Sources: Elections Canada (individual donations only — corporate political donations banned federally since 2007), the federal Registry of Lobbyists, and federal contract disclosures. Insiders matched to donors by name. Shown for transparency from disclosed public records — this is not a Confluence Score input, implies no causal link between donations, lobbying, or contracts, and is not a claim of wrongdoing.

Indigenous Consultation
no records on file

No Indigenous consultation records on file for OBE.

SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes. Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO  ·  Jul 15, 2026
Shares short
2,862,453
Net change
+132,387 (+4.8%)
History
Jul 15: 2,862,453
Jun 30: 2,730,066
Jun 15: 2,592,399
May 31: 2,770,376
May 15: 2,736,088
Apr 30: 3,269,437
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews  ·  30 days
Views (30d)
731
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
1 insider also active elsewhere
Insider Other boards Also an insider at
Kernaghan, Edward Hume 2 BDI (75), RIC (74)
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Form55 provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.