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$OBE
Obsidian Energy
Signal as of September 25, 2026  ·  90-day rolling window  ·  Oil & Gas Exploration and Production
Confluence Score
61
out of 100  ·  Full breakdown →
Score delayed 7 days on Free  ·  See today's score — Analyst →
Signals scoring 60–74 have historically hit 49% of the time (avg +5.2% over 90 days, 1310 backtested signals). Methodology →
🔒 Risk monitoring — insider-selling & reversal warnings (Analyst)
📅 Buying into earnings — Nov 05 (34d)
Confluence Score
61
Insider Activity (90d)
2
1 buyer  ·  $46K  ·  open-market only
Current Price
$14.87
CAD  ·  5-min cache
Market Cap
$984M
CAD  ·  TMX
Lobbying & Contracts
None
0 regs  ·  0 contracts
Energy on Form55: 56% hit rate · +2.4% alpha vs XIU.TO · 95 closed signals Track Record →
★
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily  ·  TSX:OBE
Insider Transactions
90-day window  ·  2 filings
Date Insider Role Nature Dir. Shares Buy Price Return Value
Sep 18, 2026 Loukas, Stephen — Open Market Buy 500 $12.15 +22.4%  · 14d $6K
Jul 07, 2026 Loukas, Stephen — Open Market Buy 5,000 $7.96 +86.8%  · 87d $40K
Score uses open-market buys only  ·  2 open-market  ·  Return is unrealized, to today's price; a “· Nd” mark means the 90-day window is still open (N of 90 days) — too early to judge.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Component Points Max Detail Weight
Conviction (unique buyers)  ✓ FREE PREVIEW 30 30 1 unique buyer (maximum conviction)
Buy/sell ratio 20 100% buys (2B / 0S)
Dollar value 25 $46K
Lobbying activity 15 None
Contract wins 10 None
Insider track record 10 Avg 45% credibility
Private placements 8 None
Confluence bonus 10 None
Cluster timing (velocity) 10 No coordinated buying cluster detected
Buy/sell reversal pattern 8 1 insider reversed from selling to buying
Total 61 100
Unlock Component Detail — CAD $29/mo
Buying Insiders
Open-market · 90 days · 1 unique buyer
Insider Credibility Hit Rate Avg 90d Return Trades (eval'd) Buy Value (90d) Last Buy
Loukas, Stephen 45 /100 67% +8.4% 121 $46K Sep 18, 2026
Credibility score: historical hit rate × avg 90d return × sample size. View full insider leaderboard →
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active  ·  none found
No active OCL lobbying registrations in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Government Contract Wins
90-day window  ·  none found
No government contract wins in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Private Placements
12 months  ·  Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking. Analyst plan →
Political Footprint
Donations · lobbying · contracts

2 insiders linked to OBE are also individual political donors — $19K across 84 donations (2007–2022).

Conservative Party of Canada · $13K New Democratic Party · $3K Liberal Party of Canada · $3K Green Party of Canada · $400

Sources: Elections Canada (individual donations only — corporate political donations banned federally since 2007), the federal Registry of Lobbyists, and federal contract disclosures. Insiders matched to donors by name. Shown for transparency from disclosed public records — this is not a Confluence Score input, implies no causal link between donations, lobbying, or contracts, and is not a claim of wrongdoing.

Indigenous Consultation
no records on file

No Indigenous consultation records on file for OBE.

SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes. Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO  ·  Sep 15, 2026
Shares short
2,703,602
Net change
+106,693 (+4.1%)
History
Sep 15: 2,703,602
Aug 31: 2,596,909
Aug 15: 2,606,884
Jul 31: 2,522,665
Jul 15: 2,862,453
Jun 30: 2,730,066
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews  ·  30 days
Views (30d)
790
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
1 insider also active elsewhere
Insider Other boards Also an insider at
Kernaghan, Edward Hume 2 BDI (87), RIC (55)
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Form55 provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.