Insider Profile
McGilvary, John Calder
1
Companies Filed At
7
Open-Market Buys (2yr)
$773K
Buy Value (2yr, open-market)
Apr 07, 2026
Most Recent Trade
5
Credibility
Score
Score
12%
Hit Rate
-0.8%
Avg 90d Return
+0.0%
Median 90d Return
8
Evaluated Trades
+0.8%
Best Trade
-4.6%
Worst Trade
Hit rate and returns are based on 8 open-market buys with evaluable
90-day outcomes. Score reflects historical conviction, not a guarantee of future performance.
Limited signal — either below-average timing or insufficient trade history.
Cross-Company Track Record
100%
Hit Rate · 90d
+25.0%
Median Alpha · 90d
6
Closed Buys Evaluated
100%
Beat XIU
All-insider base rate:
59% hit rate
· +1.3% mean alpha
(n=11504)
cluster buyer
high frequency
size concentrated
Entry: closing price on SEDI filing date (point-in-time). Exit: 90 calendar days later.
Alpha vs XIU.TO (iShares TSX 60). Closed trades only. Not investment advice.
Research
6 closed buys with individual return outcomes available on the
Research plan.
| Date | Company | Dir. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 07, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $127K |
| Apr 07, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $161K |
| Apr 07, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $127K |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $72K |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $430K |
| Mar 17, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $72K |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $14K |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $84K |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $14K |
| Mar 09, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $46K |
| Mar 09, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $26K |
| Mar 09, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $46K |
| Mar 06, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $319K |
| Mar 05, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $46K |
| Mar 05, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $32K |
| Mar 05, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $46K |
| Mar 03, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $23K |
| Mar 03, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $44K |
| Mar 03, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $44K |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $17K |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $1.0M |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $28K |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $33K |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $33K |
| Dec 31, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $26K |
| Mar 07, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Mar 07, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $35K |
| Mar 07, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $17K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $14K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $16K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | — |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $34K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $30K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $275K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $275K |
| Mar 05, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $138K |
| Mar 04, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $7K |
| Mar 04, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $7K |
| Mar 04, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $27K |
| Feb 26, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | $47K |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Jan 01, 2025 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Sell | — |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
$OBE
Obsidian Energy
|
Buy | $14K |
Muted rows are plan purchases, compensation grants, or DRIP — not open-market.
Confluence Scores reflect the company's current score, not the score at time of trade.