MacPhail, Keith A.J. — Insider Profile

Insider Profile

MacPhail, Keith A.J.

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$CVE

Companies Filed At

Open-Market Buys (2yr)

—

Buy Value (2yr, open-market)

Jan 01, 2023

Most Recent Trade

Credibility
Score

62%

Hit Rate

+22.6%

Avg 90d Return

+22.0%

Median 90d Return

Evaluated Trades

+153.1%

Best Trade

-78.2%

Worst Trade

Hit rate and returns are based on 24 open-market buys with evaluable 90-day outcomes. Score reflects historical conviction, not a guarantee of future performance. This insider has a solid track record of profitable timing.

Cross-Company Track Record

60%

Hit Rate · 90d

+16.2%

Median Alpha · 90d

Closed Buys Evaluated

80%

Beat XIU

All-insider base rate: 59% hit rate · +1.3% mean alpha (n=11504)

cluster buyer high frequency size concentrated

Entry: closing price on SEDI filing date (point-in-time). Exit: 90 calendar days later. Alpha vs XIU.TO (iShares TSX 60). Closed trades only. Not investment advice.

Research 10 closed buys with individual return outcomes available on the Research plan.

Political Donations · Elections Canada

$17K in individual political contributions across 17 donations (2016–2023).

Date	Party	Recipient	Amount
2023-02-20	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$2K
2022-04-08	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$2K
2022-04-07	Conservative Party of Canada	Poilievre, Pierre M.	$1K
2022-04-07	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$1K
2021-05-11	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$650
2021-02-05	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$1K
2020-10-13	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$396
2020-10-13	Conservative Party of Canada	O'Toole, Erin M.	$425
2020-08-27	Conservative Party of Canada	O'Toole, Erin M.	$1K
2020-08-27	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$1K
2020-04-03	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$425
2020-01-23	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$1K
2019-04-18	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$400
2019-03-17	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$1K
2017-03-30	Conservative Party of Canada	Conservative Party of Canada	$1K
2017-03-30	Conservative Party of Canada	Bernier, Maxime	$1K
2016-12-08	Conservative Party of Canada	Bernier, Maxime	$2K

Source: Elections Canada public contribution records (individual donations only; corporate political donations have been banned federally since 2007). Matched to this insider by name — shown for transparency, not a claim of wrongdoing and not a Confluence Score input.

Date	Company	Role	Nature	Dir.	Shares	Price	Value	Score
Jan 01, 2023	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	11,028	$25.84	$285K	79
Dec 31, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	4,508	$23.07	$104K	79
Dec 31, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	2,112	$24.16	$51K	79
Dec 31, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	1	$23.07	$23	79
Jun 20, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	35,000	$24.95	$873K	79
May 03, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	25,000	$23.98	$599K	79
May 02, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	20,000	$23.54	$471K	79
Jan 01, 2022	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	18,346	$15.53	$285K	79
Dec 31, 2021	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	611	$12.59	$8K	79
Dec 31, 2021	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	1	$12.37	$12	79
Aug 03, 2021	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	50,000	$10.19	$509K	79
May 17, 2021	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	40,000	$9.74	$390K	79
Jan 01, 2021	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	18,174	$7.70	$140K	79
Dec 31, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	1,051	$2.57	$3K	79
Dec 31, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	12,479	$6.34	$79K	79
Dec 31, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Plan / DRIP	Buy	3	$5.06	$15	79
Dec 16, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	46,000	$7.54	$347K	79
Jul 28, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	60,000	$6.48	$389K	79
Jun 30, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	4,967	—	—	79
Apr 09, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	34,000	$3.86	$131K	79
Mar 31, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	7,778	$2.57	$20K	79
Mar 20, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	50,000	$2.51	$126K	79
Mar 09, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Open Market	Buy	30,000	$4.25	$128K	79
Jan 01, 2020	$CVE Cenovus Energy	—	Comp. Grant	Buy	9,103	$13.18	$120K	79

Muted rows are plan purchases, compensation grants, or DRIP — not open-market. Confluence Scores reflect the company's current score, not the score at time of trade.