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$TD
Toronto-Dominion Bank
Signal as of July 25, 2026  ·  90-day rolling window  ·  Banking
Confluence Score
77
out of 100  ·  Confluence  ·  Full breakdown →
Score delayed 7 days on Free  ·  See today's score — Analyst →
Signals scoring 75–89 have historically hit 60% of the time (avg +9.7% over 90 days, 362 backtested signals). Methodology →
🔒 Risk monitoring — insider-selling & reversal warnings (Analyst)
Confluence Score
77
Insider Activity (90d)
1
1 buyer  ·  $3.3M  ·  open-market only
Current Price
$168.04
CAD  ·  5-min cache
Market Cap
$276.4B
CAD  ·  TMX
Lobbying & Contracts
Active
1 regs  ·  0 contracts
Financials on Form55: 81% hit rate · +8.2% alpha vs XIU.TO · 52 closed signals Track Record →
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily  ·  TSX:TD
Insider Transactions
90-day window  ·  2 filings
Date Insider Role Nature Dir. Shares Buy Price Return Value
May 29, 2026 Martell, Keith Ownership Chg Sell 139
May 29, 2026 Martell, Keith Ownership Chg Buy 139
Score uses open-market buys only  ·  0 open-market  ·  1 plan / compensation shown but not scored  ·  Return is unrealized, to today's price; a “· Nd” mark means the 90-day window is still open (N of 90 days) — too early to judge.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Component Points Max Detail Weight
Conviction (unique buyers)  ✓ FREE PREVIEW 30 30 1 unique buyer (maximum conviction)
Buy/sell ratio 20 20% buys (1B / 4S)
Dollar value 25 $3.3M (sweet spot)
Lobbying activity 15 1 regs
Contract wins 10 None
Insider track record 10 Avg 41% credibility
Private placements 8 None
Confluence bonus 10 Partial confluence (2+ signal sources)
Cluster timing (velocity) 10 No coordinated buying cluster detected
Buy/sell reversal pattern 8 No buy/sell reversal pattern
Total 77 100
Unlock Component Detail — CAD $29/mo
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active  ·  1 registrations
Effective Registrant Subject Matter Institutions Status
Dec 01, 2025 The Toronto-Dominion Bank  ✓ FREE PREVIEW Stablecoins Act in respect to the government's strategy on digital assets | Artificial Intelligence … Justice Canada (JC); National Defence (DND); Natural Resources Canada … Active
Unlock 1 Registration — CAD $29/mo
Government Contract Wins
90-day window  ·  none found
No government contract wins in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Private Placements
12 months  ·  Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking. Analyst plan →
Political Footprint
Donations · lobbying · contracts

17 insiders linked to TD are also individual political donors — $89K across 103 donations (2007–2023).

Conservative Party of Canada · $69K Liberal Party of Canada · $21K Green Party of Canada · $75

Form55 also tracks TD's federal footprint: 12 lobbying registrations naming 41 departments, and $9.0M across 5 federal contracts from 2 departments.

The chain — lobbied & awarded

1 department appears in both TD's federal lobbying filings and its federal contract awards:

National Defence $9.0M · 2 contracts

Sources: Elections Canada (individual donations only — corporate political donations banned federally since 2007), the federal Registry of Lobbyists, and federal contract disclosures. Insiders matched to donors by name. Shown for transparency from disclosed public records — this is not a Confluence Score input, implies no causal link between donations, lobbying, or contracts, and is not a claim of wrongdoing.

Indigenous Consultation
no records on file

No Indigenous consultation records on file for TD.

SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes. Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO  ·  Jul 15, 2026
Shares short
26,483,867
Net change
-957,686 (-3.5%)
History
Jul 15: 26,483,867
Jun 30: 27,441,553
Jun 15: 27,019,977
May 31: 32,419,023
May 15: 31,857,750
Apr 30: 30,896,806
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews  ·  30 days
Views (30d)
11,905
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
8 insiders also active elsewhere
Insider Other boards Also an insider at
Tower, Nancy Gail 3 EMA (86), ALA (48), FTT (10)
Antoun, Ayman 2 OTEX (91), CAE (71)
Fish, Simon Adrian 2 BMO (65), SSRM (64)
Natale, Joe 2 SHOP (68), RCI (10)
MacGibbon, Alan 1 CAE (71)
Mongeau, Claude 1 CVE (79)
Rowe, Jane 1 ENB (83)
Martell, Keith 1 NTR (84)
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Form55 provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.