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$CAE
CAE Inc.
Signal as of July 21, 2026  ·  90-day rolling window  ·  Aerospace & Defense
Confluence Score
71
out of 100  ·  Confluence  ·  Full breakdown →
Score delayed 7 days on Free  ·  See today's score — Analyst →
Signals scoring 60–74 have historically hit 49% of the time (avg +5.2% over 90 days, 1310 backtested signals). Methodology →
🔒 Risk monitoring — insider-selling & reversal warnings (Analyst)
⚡ First insider buying in 6 months 📅 Buying into earnings — Aug 12 (15d)
Confluence Score
71
Insider Activity (90d)
16
8 buyers  ·  $3.1M  ·  open-market only
Current Price
$37.20
CAD  ·  5-min cache
Market Cap
$12.0B
CAD  ·  TMX
Lobbying & Contracts
Active
4 regs  ·  0 contracts
Industrials on Form55: 52% hit rate · +1.0% alpha vs XIU.TO · 46 closed signals Track Record →
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily  ·  TSX:CAE
Insider Transactions
90-day window  ·  50 filings
Date Insider Role Nature Dir. Shares Buy Price Return Value
Jun 30, 2026 Decostre, Patrick Comp. Grant Buy 2,007 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $71K
Jun 30, 2026 Edwards, Ian L. Comp. Grant Buy 2,007 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $71K
Jun 30, 2026 Shanahan, Patrick Comp. Grant Buy 1,695 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $60K
Jun 30, 2026 Eberwein, Elise Comp. Grant Buy 1,695 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $60K
Jun 30, 2026 Antoun, Ayman Comp. Grant Buy 2,183 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $78K
Jun 30, 2026 Brochu, Sophie Comp. Grant Buy 2,456 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $87K
Jun 30, 2026 Lehman, Katherine Comp. Grant Buy 2,852 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $102K
Jun 30, 2026 Têtu, Louis Comp. Grant Buy 2,085 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $74K
Jun 30, 2026 Rovinescu, Calin Comp. Grant Buy 21,056 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $750K
Jun 30, 2026 Harrison, Marianne Comp. Grant Buy 1,695 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $60K
Jun 30, 2026 Maher, Mary Lou Katherine Comp. Grant Buy 1,193 $35.62 +4.4%  · 28d $42K
Jun 24, 2026 Bromberg, Matthew Open Market Buy 64,710 $35.60 +4.5%  · 34d $2.3M
Jun 15, 2026 Prevost, Alexandre Open Market Buy 1,430 $35.50 +4.8%  · 43d $51K
Jun 11, 2026 CAE INC. Derivative Sell 1
Jun 11, 2026 CAE INC. Derivative Buy 1
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Open Market Buy 405 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $14K
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Expiry Sell 1,612
Jun 09, 2026 Prevost, Alexandre Open Market Buy 1,016 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $36K
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Exercise Sell 566
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Exercise Buy 566 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $20K
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Open Market Buy 316 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $11K
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Exercise Sell 726
Jun 09, 2026 Golinski, Samantha Exercise Buy 726 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $26K
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Exercise Sell 1,967
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Expiry Sell 5,597
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Exercise Buy 1,967 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $69K
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Open Market Buy 1,098 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $39K
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Exercise Sell 2,521
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Exercise Buy 2,521 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $89K
Jun 09, 2026 Arnovitz, Andrew Open Market Buy 1,408 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $50K
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Exercise Sell 3,399
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Expiry Sell 9,674
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Exercise Buy 3,399 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $120K
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Open Market Buy 1,898 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $67K
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Exercise Sell 4,358
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Exercise Buy 4,358 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $153K
Jun 09, 2026 Grenier, Pascal Open Market Buy 2,434 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $86K
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Exercise Sell 2,880
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Expiry Sell 8,197
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Exercise Buy 2,880 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $101K
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Open Market Buy 1,608 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $57K
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Exercise Sell 3,692
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Exercise Buy 3,692 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $130K
Jun 09, 2026 Gagnon, Hélène Violaine Open Market Buy 2,062 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $73K
Jun 09, 2026 Hounsell, Mark Exercise Sell 3,734
Jun 09, 2026 Hounsell, Mark Expiry Sell 10,627
Jun 09, 2026 Hounsell, Mark Exercise Buy 3,734 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $131K
Jun 09, 2026 Hounsell, Mark Open Market Buy 2,085 $35.39 +5.1%  · 49d $74K
Jun 09, 2026 Hounsell, Mark Exercise Sell 4,787
Jun 09, 2026 Hounsell, Mark Exercise Buy 4,787 $35.20 +5.7%  · 49d $169K
Score uses open-market buys only  ·  12 open-market  ·  22 plan / compensation shown but not scored  ·  Return is unrealized, to today's price; a “· Nd” mark means the 90-day window is still open (N of 90 days) — too early to judge.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Component Points Max Detail Weight
Conviction (unique buyers)  ✓ FREE PREVIEW 15 30 8 unique buyers
Buy/sell ratio 20 42% buys (16B / 22S)
Dollar value 25 $3.1M (sweet spot)
Lobbying activity 15 4 regs
Contract wins 10 None
Insider track record 10 Avg 42% credibility
Private placements 8 None
Confluence bonus 10 Partial confluence (2+ signal sources)
Cluster timing (velocity) 10 No coordinated buying cluster detected
Buy/sell reversal pattern 8 2 insiders reversed from selling to buying
Total 71 100
Unlock Component Detail — CAD $29/mo
Buying Insiders
Open-market · 90 days · 8 unique buyers
Insider Credibility Hit Rate Avg 90d Return Trades (eval'd) Buy Value (90d) Last Buy
Hounsell, Mark 59 /100 73% +13.5% 56 $168K Jun 09, 2026
Grenier, Pascal 53 /100 73% +8.7% 44 $153K Jun 09, 2026
Arnovitz, Andrew 44 /100 66% +7.9% 59 $89K Jun 09, 2026
Copeland, Phillip C. 39 /100 65% +3.6% 20 $143K Jun 09, 2026
Bromberg, Matthew 34 /100 100% +0.4% 6 $2.3M Jun 24, 2026
Gagnon, Hélène Violaine 20 /100 26% -21.3% 73 $130K Jun 09, 2026
Prevost, Alexandre $115K Jun 15, 2026
Golinski, Samantha $26K Jun 09, 2026
Credibility score: historical hit rate × avg 90d return × sample size. View full insider leaderboard →
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active  ·  4 registrations
Effective Registrant Subject Matter Institutions Status
May 20, 2026 PROSPECTUS ASSOCIATES  ✓ FREE PREVIEW Canada's potential contributions to global security in Europe, NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organizat… Senate of Canada; House of Commons; National Defence (DND); Privy Coun… Active
Active
Active
+ 1 more registration
Unlock 4 Registrations — CAD $29/mo
Government Contract Wins
90-day window  ·  none found
No government contract wins in the last 90 days. Analyst plan →
Private Placements
12 months  ·  Signal Analyst  ·  $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking. Analyst plan →
Political Footprint
Donations · lobbying · contracts

12 insiders linked to CAE are also individual political donors — $70K across 293 donations (2007–2023).

Conservative Party of Canada · $36K Liberal Party of Canada · $32K Bloc Québécois · $700 Green Party of Canada · $400 New Democratic Party · $400

Form55 also tracks CAE's federal footprint: 44 lobbying registrations naming 40 departments, and $9611.3M across 249 federal contracts from 8 departments.

The chain — lobbied & awarded

4 departments appear in both CAE's federal lobbying filings and its federal contract awards:

National Defence $8984.0M · 152 contracts
Transport Canada $7.1M · 33 contracts
Public Services and Procurement Canada $1.1M · 1 contract
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $484K · 1 contract

Sources: Elections Canada (individual donations only — corporate political donations banned federally since 2007), the federal Registry of Lobbyists, and federal contract disclosures. Insiders matched to donors by name. Shown for transparency from disclosed public records — this is not a Confluence Score input, implies no causal link between donations, lobbying, or contracts, and is not a claim of wrongdoing.

Indigenous Consultation
no records on file

No Indigenous consultation records on file for CAE.

SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes. Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO  ·  Jul 15, 2026
Shares short
7,163,709
Net change
+525,867 (+7.9%)
History
Jul 15: 7,163,709
Jun 30: 6,637,842
Jun 15: 7,548,218
May 31: 6,714,733
May 15: 4,498,431
Apr 30: 4,326,133
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews  ·  30 days
Views (30d)
4,379
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
10 insiders also active elsewhere
Insider Other boards Also an insider at
Brochu, Sophie 2 BMO (65), GIB (10)
Rovinescu, Calin 2 BCE (85), BNS (46)
Antoun, Ayman 2 OTEX (84), TD (77)
Harrison, Marianne 2 CM (79), MFC (77)
McLeod, Ryan 1 ATS (42)
MacGibbon, Alan 1 TD (77)
Maher, Mary Lou Katherine 1 CM (79)
Parent, Marc 1 CP (62)
Roach, Michael 1 GIB (10)
Têtu, Louis 1 CVO (10)
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Government Grants & Funding
13 federal awards  ·  $1352.0M total
Program / Agreement Department Amount Start
SIF Stream 1- R&D Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $173.0M Sep 2021
SIF Stream 1- R&D Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $190.0M Jan 2021
SIF Stream 1- R&D Contribution Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $150.0M Jul 2018
SIF Stream 1- R&D Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $150.0M Jul 2018
Research Training and Talent Development Grant Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada $4K Mar 2018
Research Training and Talent Development Grant Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada $4K Mar 2018
Research Training and Talent Development Grant Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada $4K Mar 2018
Research Training and Talent Development Grant Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada $4K Mar 2018
Research Training and Talent Development Grant Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada $4K Mar 2018
Research Training and Talent Development Grant Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada $4K Mar 2018
Strategic Aerospace and Defence Initiative Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $250.0M Sep 2013
Strategic Aerospace and Defence Initiative Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada $250.0M Mar 2009
Federal grants & contributions disclosed by the Government of Canada (Proactive Disclosure), matched to this issuer by legal name. Government funding can be a pre-revenue validation and capital signal. Display-only context, not a Confluence Score input.
Form55 provides data and analysis for informational purposes only. Nothing on this site constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results.