Industrials on Form55:
45% hit rate
·
-6.1% alpha vs XIU.TO
·
64 closed signals
Track Record →
★
Signal Analyst
The Confluence Score and insider trade feed above are free. Signal Analyst adds the full
component breakdown, lobbying registrations, and contract wins — plus alerts when this
company's signal moves, so you don't have to keep checking back.
Monitor — CAD $29/mo
Price Chart
12 months daily · TSX:CAE
Insider Transactions
90-day window ·
no filings
No insider transactions in the last 90 days.
Score Breakdown
Signal Analyst · $29/mo
| Component |
Points |
Max |
Detail |
Weight |
| Conviction (unique buyers) ✓ FREE PREVIEW |
30 |
30 |
1 unique buyer (maximum conviction) |
|
| Buy/sell ratio |
|
20 |
100% buys (1B / 0S) |
|
| Dollar value |
|
25 |
$2.3M (sweet spot) |
|
| Lobbying activity |
|
15 |
4 regs |
|
| Contract wins |
|
10 |
None |
|
| Insider track record |
|
10 |
Avg 34% credibility |
|
| Private placements |
|
8 |
None |
|
| Confluence bonus |
|
10 |
Partial confluence (2+ signal sources) |
|
| Cluster timing (velocity) |
|
10 |
No coordinated buying cluster detected |
|
| Buy/sell reversal pattern |
|
8 |
No buy/sell reversal pattern |
|
| Total |
93
|
100 |
|
Lobbying Registrations
OCL active ·
4 registrations
| Effective |
Registrant |
Subject Matter |
Institutions |
Status |
| May 20, 2026 |
PROSPECTUS ASSOCIATES ✓ FREE PREVIEW |
Canada's potential contributions to global security in Europe, NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organizat… |
Senate of Canada; House of Commons; National Defence (DND); Privy Coun… |
Active |
|
|
|
|
|
Active |
|
|
|
|
|
Active |
|
+ 1 more registration
|
Government Contract Wins
90-day window ·
none found
Private Placements
12 months ·
Signal Analyst · $29/mo
Private placement history, deal size, and lock-up expiry tracking.
Analyst plan →
Political Footprint
Donations · lobbying · contracts
12
insiders linked to CAE
are also individual political donors —
$70K
across 293 donations
(2007–2023).
Conservative Party of Canada · $36K
Liberal Party of Canada · $32K
Bloc Québécois · $700
Green Party of Canada · $400
New Democratic Party · $400
Form55 also tracks CAE's federal footprint: 44 lobbying registrations naming 40 departments, and $9611.3M across 249 federal contracts from 8 departments.
The chain — lobbied & awarded
4 departments
appear in both CAE's federal lobbying
filings and its federal contract awards:
National Defence
$8984.0M · 152 contracts
Transport Canada
$7.1M · 33 contracts
Public Services and Procurement Canada
$1.1M · 1 contract
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada
$484K · 1 contract
Sources: Elections Canada (individual donations only — corporate political donations banned federally
since 2007), the federal Registry of Lobbyists, and federal contract disclosures. Insiders matched to
donors by name. Shown for transparency from disclosed public records — this is not a Confluence Score input,
implies no causal link between donations, lobbying, or contracts, and is not a claim of wrongdoing.
Indigenous Consultation
no records on file
No Indigenous consultation records on file for CAE.
SEDAR+ Filings
official filing registry
Form55 monitors SEDAR+ filing alerts and newswire announcements for Technical Reports and material changes.
Search SEDAR+ →
Short Interest
CIRO · Sep 15, 2026
Net change
+1,521,600
(+21.7%)
Short interest rose 22% since the prior report.
With a bullish Confluence Score (93.00), this is a tension setup —
shorts and insiders are positioned against each other.
History
Sep 15:
8,521,250
Aug 31:
6,999,650
Aug 15:
5,651,719
Jul 31:
6,389,120
Jul 15:
7,163,709
Jun 30:
6,637,842
Aggregate short position from CIRO's Consolidated Short Position Report (published twice monthly).
Wikipedia Attention
Pageviews · 30 days
Daily English-Wikipedia pageviews (Wikimedia). Traffic spikes often coincide with news — a
public-attention indicator, not investment advice.
Boardroom Connections
10 insiders also active elsewhere
| Insider |
Other boards |
Also an insider at |
|
Brochu, Sophie
|
2 |
BMO (85), GIB (10)
|
|
Rovinescu, Calin
|
2 |
BCE (85), BNS (46)
|
|
Antoun, Ayman
|
2 |
OTEX (63), TD (10)
|
|
Harrison, Marianne
|
2 |
CM (71), MFC (34)
|
|
McLeod, Ryan
|
1 |
ATS (50)
|
|
MacGibbon, Alan
|
1 |
TD (10)
|
|
Maher, Mary Lou Katherine
|
1 |
CM (71)
|
|
Parent, Marc
|
1 |
CP (79)
|
|
Roach, Michael
|
1 |
GIB (10)
|
|
Têtu, Louis
|
1 |
CVO (67)
|
People who file as insiders here and at other TSX/TSXV companies (number in brackets = that company's
Confluence Score). A well-connected insider taking a seat at a new junior can be an early tell. Matched by
name across SEDI filings; funds and 10%+ holders excluded.
Government Grants & Funding
13 federal awards · $1352.0M total
| Program / Agreement |
Department |
Amount |
Start |
|
SIF Stream 1- R&D
|
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada |
$173.0M |
Sep 2021 |
|
SIF Stream 1- R&D
|
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada |
$190.0M |
Jan 2021 |
|
SIF Stream 1- R&D
Contribution
|
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada |
$150.0M |
Jul 2018 |
|
SIF Stream 1- R&D
|
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada |
$150.0M |
Jul 2018 |
|
Research Training and Talent Development
Grant
|
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada |
$4K |
Mar 2018 |
|
Research Training and Talent Development
Grant
|
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada |
$4K |
Mar 2018 |
|
Research Training and Talent Development
Grant
|
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada |
$4K |
Mar 2018 |
|
Research Training and Talent Development
Grant
|
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada |
$4K |
Mar 2018 |
|
Research Training and Talent Development
Grant
|
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada |
$4K |
Mar 2018 |
|
Research Training and Talent Development
Grant
|
Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada |
$4K |
Mar 2018 |
|
Strategic Aerospace and Defence Initiative
|
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada |
$250.0M |
Sep 2013 |
|
Strategic Aerospace and Defence Initiative
|
Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada |
$250.0M |
Mar 2009 |
Federal grants & contributions disclosed by the Government of Canada (Proactive Disclosure), matched to
this issuer by legal name. Government funding can be a pre-revenue validation and capital signal. Display-only
context, not a Confluence Score input.